Ho fehla matla a letsatsi Japane ka 2030, na matsatsi a letsatsi a tla fana ka boholo ba motlakase oa motšehare?

Ka March 30, 2022, Resource Comprehensive System, e batlisisang ho kenyelletsoa ha mekhoa ea ho hlahisa matla a photovoltaic (PV) Japane, e tlalehile boleng ba sebele le bo lebeletsoeng ba tlhahiso ea tsamaiso ea photovoltaic ka 2020. Ka 2030, e hatisitse "Prediction of introduction of photovoltaic power generation" 20220 Japanese marakeng)

Ho ea ka likhakanyo tsa eona, kenyelletso e kenyelletsoeng ea litsamaiso tsa photovoltaic Japane ka 2020 e ka ba 72GW, e itšetlehileng ka tlhahiso e tobileng ea hona joale (DC). "Tlhaloso ea hona joale ea kholo" ho boloka sekhahla sa hona joale sa li-introductions tsa DC tse ka bang 8 GW ka selemo, ponelopele ke 154 GW, e nang le tlhahiso ea hona joale (AC) ea 121 GW ho FY2030Note 1). Ka lehlakoreng le leng, "Introduction Acceleration Case", e lebeletsoeng ho ntlafatsa haholo le ho ntšetsa pele tikoloho ea thepa, e na le setsi sa DC sa 180GW (AC base ea 140GW).

Ka tsela, ho "Leano la Botšelela la Matla a Motheo" le entsoeng ke Lekala la Moruo, Khoebo le Liindasteri ka la 22 Mphalane, 2021, palo ea matla a letsatsi e hlahisitsoeng Japane ka 2030 ke "117.6GW (AC boemong ba maemo a phahameng). Base ) ". Boemo ba Lekala la Moruo, Khoebo le Liindasteri bo batla bo tsamaellana le lebelo la hona joale la matseno.

Leha ho le joalo, litekanyetso tsena tsa DC-based PV system output li lekantsoe ha maemo a itseng a kang mocheso le letsatsi a fihlelleha. Ha e le hantle, makhetlo a 7 (× 0.7) ke tlhōrō ea tlhahiso ea matla a marang-rang. Ke hore, ka 2030, ho lebeletsoe hore e khone ho hlahisa hoo e ka bang 85 GW tlas'a boemo ba hona joale ba ho hōla hoo e ka bang motšehare nakong ea leholimo le chesang motšehare, le hoo e ka bang 98 GW tlas'a kenyelletso e potlakileng (ka bobeli AC-based ).

Ka lehlakoreng le leng, tlhokeho ea matla ea selemo le selemo ea Japane e haufi le 160GW (ka mokhoa o mong oa hajoale). Pele ho Tšisinyeho ea Lefatše e Khōlō ea Japane ka March 2011, e ne e ka ba 180GW (e tšoanang le e ka holimo), empa ka tsoelo-pele ea ts'ebetso ea ho boloka matla a sechaba, sekhahla sa kholo ea moruo se fokotsehile, 'me phetoho ea sebopeho sa moruo e tsoetse pele,' me tlhahiso ea matla e fokotsehile. Haeba tlhokahalo ea motlakase ka 2030 e batla e tšoana le hona joale, e ka baloa hore 98GW / 160GW = 61% kapa ho feta ea tlhoko ea motlakase ea Japane ka kakaretso e ka finyelloa ka matla a letsatsi motšehare le boemo ba leholimo ba letsatsi.